kevin_standlee: (SMOF Zone)
kevin_standlee ([personal profile] kevin_standlee) wrote2007-07-15 10:38 am
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Worldcon Site Selection Politics

I am concerned about rumblings over the current Worldcon site selection election. Specifically, I've heard people say that if Kansas City doesn't win, it proves that the relatively new "no-zone" site selection system is broken and needs changing. For heaven's sake, it's only been in full operation for the last three election cycles (the previous three years were a transition period). It takes a lot longer than that to figure out whether a system is working or not. We did three-year lead time for almost twenty years before going back to two years.

The same complaints inform me that the center of the continent will be completely frozen out under "no-zone," and that Denver certainly isn't "Central" (although it looks that way from here in California), but neither is Chicago! That is, Denver is "West" and Chicago is "East." And when I asked about Texas, they told me that it's "South." That means "Central" consists of a pretty small area: Kansas, Missouri, Nebraska, Iowa, North and South Dakota, Minnesota, Manitoba, and Saskatchewan. Oh, and possibly western Illinois and Wisconsin, but not Chicago and not Milwaukee.

Some have pointed to the lack of a Minneapolis Worldcon as further evidence of bias against the center. Minneapolis, for instance, is the fourth largest metropolitan area in the US & Canada to not yet host a Worldcon. But like the old joke about Murray and God, you have to buy a lottery ticket in order to win the lottery, and aside from Minneapolis in '73, there are have been no serious bids from Minneapolis. (Which is a shame, really, because it's a nice city with a good looking convention center and relatively close downtown hotels.)

Frankly, I expect "no-zone" will lead to slightly fewer Worldcons in what was the old Central zone (which did include Chicago and Texas; sorry about that, folks), because Worldcons are now more likely to follow general population demographics, and the edges of the continent have more people living there than the center. But accusations that the con will bounce back and forth between Boston and Anaheim are just silly.

Edit, 11:35: Fixed geographic typo pointed out in comments.

[identity profile] sethb.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 06:48 pm (UTC)(link)
Speaking about as definitively for Minneapolis fandom as anyone can (i.e. not at all), I'll point out that all Minneapolis needs is about a dozen Worldcon-running-level fans, of which we have approximately me.

The facilities are fairly great (indoor connections to more hotel rooms than anybody else, mostly about 2 blocks away from the Convention Center). It's the people to run it that are lacking.

And if God wanted me to win the lottery, I'd find a ticket.

[identity profile] kevin-standlee.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 06:55 pm (UTC)(link)
That's what I figured. As you know, though, Worldcons have been done with fewer local Worldcon-running fans. A certain city due north of you comes to mind.

It seems to me that a Minneapolis Worldcon would be in the same position as Winnipeg or Glasgow (to name a couple); nearly the entire organization would have to be imported. Worse, if I understand it correctly, a Minneapolis Worldcon would face the active opposition of the local fan community, which wouldn't be much fun. It's one thing if the local fans are either nonexistent or indifferent; actively in opposition would be a Bad Thing.

[identity profile] redneckotaku.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 07:30 pm (UTC)(link)
Kansas City and Montreal were both at Balticon. Maybe, KC is thinking to work the east and midwestern vote more than the western vote. I don't think the end of rotational bidding is such a bad thing. It encourages more competitive races. We had a three way race last year and a two horse race for 2009. I wouldn't be surprised if someone steps up for 2011 to challenge Seattle and 2012 for Chicago.

It could be worst for Minneapolis. We should be in New York City every 10-15 years. It is the book publishing and media capital of the world. New York is gaining fannish power with New York Comic Con, Book Expo America and the New York Anime Festival. Worldcon haven't been to NYC in almost 40 years. I am also aware of the weaknesses of NYC because of seeing $500 a night rooms for NY Anime Festival.

[identity profile] kevin-standlee.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 07:37 pm (UTC)(link)
New York City is a toxic cocktail of absurdly expensive facilities (both convention center and hotel rooms) and fannish politics (New York fandom can't pull together and form a single bid). I'd be surprised if we ever go back there.

Actually, Worldcon isn't really a good fit for first-tier cities. We're too cheap. We're better off going to second-tier cities that built convention centers and need to fill them, and will therefore offer good deals. However, Worldcons who get those good deals need to show them reflected in their membership rates, rather than simply charging what their recent predecessors charged.

If the members can expect to pay about the same whether the convention is in First Class City or Podunktown, expect them to pick the city where they can have the better time if the convention goes all pear-shaped. (Call this the "Nolacon Factor," and it was probably a contributor to San Francisco winning the 1993 Worldcon, as the organizational disaster of the 1988 Worldcon was still fresh on people's minds.

[identity profile] tkunsman.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 09:06 pm (UTC)(link)
I agree. I highly doubt that New York will ever see a Worldcon again-mostly because of the absurdly expensive facilities.

If KC does not win this election, will I think the system is broke? Probably not. The fans spoke, and picked the city based on (hopefully) the individual bids strengths and weaknesses.

[identity profile] mrshirt.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 09:00 pm (UTC)(link)
From my observations at cons up and down the east coast, all the KC bid parties have been run by one fan. And he is not even from KC but the Philadelphia area. I have not seen anyone that lives in the KC area this year at the 5 cons I have attended so far this year on the east coast.

[identity profile] sfrose.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 11:37 pm (UTC)(link)
Adam is a really nice guy, but the parties he threw at Balticon and Lunacon were not what I would call good bid parties, especially in the last six months before the vote. Memorial Day is always hard, with the added challenge of KC hosting the local convention, but that doesn't explain why they missed Midwestcon and Westercon and didn't ask (AFAIK) for help.

[identity profile] dd-b.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 08:08 pm (UTC)(link)
There'd certainly be some opposition. On the other hand, as the concept of carpet-bagged conventions becomes more well-known, the dangers of having a local worldcon become less. The people who count will understand that it flopped because of the committee, rather than because of the local fan community; or are more likely to. (Ditto for succeeded, but the possibility of being blamed for a failure we had nothing to do with is one of the reasons I've heard many people express for opposing a local bid they didn't like and didn't want to be involved in.)

I can't help noticing that [livejournal.com profile] gerisullivan felt it safer to flee the state not too long after Seth moved here :-). Possibly the worldcon-runners level was getting too high?

(While I was an area head for N3, I agree that I'm not a "worldcon-running fan" in any reasonable sense. Haven't been in *any* significant concom position recently, and I'm rather enjoying it.)

[identity profile] sethb.livejournal.com 2007-07-15 09:57 pm (UTC)(link)
I suspect it could be done without too much local opposition, if presented correctly ("You don't have to work on it.")

The fact that Minicon split into three different conventions (sort of) might make that easier: from what I've seen, there isn't so much opposition as indifference.

[identity profile] avt-tor.livejournal.com 2007-07-16 01:34 pm (UTC)(link)
All most cities need is a dozen Worldcon-running-level fans.

That is exactly the argument I made in 2004 when I tried to talk the Montrealers to withdraw their bid. But what they said was that they didn't need a local fan community to run a Worldcon. I feel that 2009, between Nippon and probably Australia, is the wrong year to try to have a non-US Worldcon in a city that is expensive to stay in and expensive to fly to, and I don't think Canadian fandom is ready to work on another Worldcon, which is why Canadian fandom is not strongly represented on the Montreal bid. Montreal in particular can barely organize a local convention for 300 members (which was cancelled in 2005 for lack of interest).

Usually people ignore my opinions until after the facts become obvious, and then people say "oh that's what he was talking about."

But like people say about government, fandom gets the Worldcons it deserves.

Kansas City runs a great local SF convention run by an active local fan community, and several other events. It's inexpensive to get to. Kansas City is also not just Kansas City; it draws in folks from across the central Midwest and upper South. That is a function of how connected their group is, not geography; St. Louis fandom, for example, doesn't have those connections.

I extremely doubt that the NASFiC is going to make much difference. The Archon crew has pretty much ignored marketing to travelling fandom, who are a key segment of Worldcon voters.