kevin_standlee: Logo created for 2005 Worldcon and sometimes used for World Science Fiction Society business (WSFS Logo)
[personal profile] kevin_standlee
I have seen the "concern" expressed at the "danger" of so many Worldcon supporting members overwhelming the organization. I wanted to know if there really is a huge surge or not, so I looked up the numbers that do exist on smofinfo.com and compared them to the current membership figures on the Loncon 3 web site. Comparing the number of voting attending (including YA members if they had voting rights) to the number of supporting members, I see that the percentage of supporting members has been moving upward; however, while the absolute number of supporting members this year is quite large (currently 2,397), it's nearly exactly the same percentage (32.46%; there are 4,987 attending voting including YA) of the total supporting+attending membership as 2010 in Australia, where 32.53% of the members were supporting (964, with 1,999 attending). In all cases, non-voting membership classes aren't included in the totals; this is only a comparison of attending voting versus non-attending voting.

Reno and Chicago had about 21% non-attending voting members. Montreal was about 15%. However, the trend isn't a straight line: Boston in 2004 had 19% non-attending voting members, and while Philadelphia in 2001 had 17%, San Jose the following year had merely 7%.

Here's how it looks for the years for which I have data. The first figure after the year and site is the number of attending voting members (including YA and any other voting class that could attend the convention if applicable). The second is the number of supporting members. The third is the percentage that is supporting. Non-voting members aren't including in any figures.

2001 Philadelphia: 4440 899 17%
2002 San José: 4498 340 7%
2003 Toronto: 3969 614 13%
2004 Boston: 4868 1107 19%
2005 Glasgow: 3884 394 9%
2006 Anaheim: 3937 532 12%
2008 Denver: 3524 630 15%
2009 Montréal: 3238 574 15%
2010 Melbourne: 1999 964 33%
2011 Reno: 3697 991 21%
2012 Chicago: 4249 1112 21%
2014 London: 4987 2397 32%


I welcome those new supporting members. I want them to become attending members when there's a Worldcon that they consider they can afford, and because the convention moves around, for most of them (freely admitting not everyone), there should be one at least once a decade within striking distance.

Date: 2014-05-28 12:28 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] a-cubed.livejournal.com
It seems to me that one contributing factor is whether the bid was contested or not. A contested bid will likely include a percentage of voters for losing bids who buy advance supporting memberships but don'tthen covnert to attending because their convenient location did not win. Since WSFS membership (aka supporting membership in the Worldcon) iscurrently transferrable, they could of course sell this, but it seems like most people don't bother.

Date: 2014-05-28 03:11 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] paradoox.livejournal.com
One comment I have heard is that many of these people will never attend and are just joining to vote in the Hugos or, worse, for the Hugo packet. There is a fear that the Hugos are *ALL* becoming a popularity contest. (I say all, because some people feel that some categories like the Fan and Artist categories were already popularity contests).

Date: 2014-05-28 04:31 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] kevin-standlee.livejournal.com
I am utterly mystified by cries of "It's becoming a popularity contest" because IMO it always has been a popularity contest. It's a contest to see who is the most popular work among the members of the Worldcon who bother to participate. It has never been anything but that.

IMO, claims that amount to, "But the the Goode Olde Dayes, the Right Sort of Fans voted" do not wash with me.

Date: 2014-05-29 05:55 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] paradoox.livejournal.com
I think in the "gold old days" some people would be swayed by what was suggested by a fan-zine. Now, it is easier for many people to be swayed by what is posted on (popular) blogs, tweets, facebook, etc. Or at least that is their argument. I'm just repeating it.

Date: 2014-05-30 09:36 pm (UTC)
ext_73044: Tinkerbell (Salem Professor)
From: [identity profile] lisa-marli.livejournal.com
I don't know about others, but I became a Loncon supporting member, because I wanted to be more involved in things and won't be able to attend the con. It is just too far away for me to afford it. Hopefully, more people are doing my thing, always supporting to be involved even if you can't attend.

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